Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.031070 0.033414 0.035864 0.038619 0.041634 0.044839 0.048510
2025-05-25 0.027021 0.030315 0.033939 0.038236 0.043211 0.048811 0.055624
2025-06-01 0.024128 0.027927 0.032268 0.037624 0.044098 0.051721 0.061452
2025-06-08 0.021898 0.025976 0.030780 0.036903 0.044566 0.053930 0.066378
2025-06-15 0.020290 0.024577 0.029757 0.036545 0.045304 0.056362 0.071603
2025-06-22 0.018973 0.023401 0.028874 0.036223 0.045966 0.058635 0.076677
2025-06-29 0.017701 0.022178 0.027819 0.035557 0.046065 0.060091 0.080663
2025-07-06 0.017017 0.021651 0.027603 0.035943 0.047544 0.063440 0.087471
2025-07-13 0.016264 0.020978 0.027139 0.035937 0.048442 0.065998 0.093287
2025-07-20 0.015741 0.020575 0.026998 0.036343 0.049913 0.069426 0.100614
2025-07-27 0.015054 0.019905 0.026447 0.036123 0.050442 0.071478 0.105958
2025-08-03 0.014425 0.019282 0.025921 0.035895 0.050923 0.073456 0.111296
2025-08-10 0.013831 0.018683 0.025405 0.035659 0.051385 0.075449 0.116852
2025-08-17 0.013326 0.018186 0.025008 0.035571 0.052058 0.077800 0.123180
2025-08-24 0.012738 0.017543 0.024365 0.035069 0.052043 0.079031 0.127674
2025-08-31 0.012151 0.016874 0.023653 0.034420 0.051744 0.079761 0.131320
2025-09-07 0.011693 0.016376 0.023169 0.034094 0.051936 0.081301 0.136513
2025-09-14 0.011274 0.015917 0.022721 0.033799 0.052152 0.082877 0.141880
2025-09-21 0.010800 0.015357 0.022097 0.033187 0.051798 0.083433 0.145352
2025-09-28 0.010596 0.015196 0.022075 0.033542 0.053090 0.086943 0.154778
2025-10-05 0.010316 0.014907 0.021842 0.033536 0.053754 0.089363 0.162262
2025-10-12 0.010139 0.014771 0.021840 0.033909 0.055094 0.093091 0.172709
2025-10-19 0.009842 0.014435 0.021507 0.033707 0.055395 0.094902 0.179347